2015-2016年度中超联赛比赛致胜因素的相关性研究

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摘要：

通过文献资料法、专家访谈法、录像技战术软件分析法和数理统计等方法对2015-2016年度中超联赛240比赛中各项技术指标数据进行相关性研究并进行分析,基于大数据角度,以期对分析中超各队竞赛能力、制定战术安排提供数据支撑.结论:1)高胜率组在定位球数、射门相关、传控球等指标均高于低胜率组;而低胜率组在犯规次数、跑动距离多于高组;2)在控球率与传球次数(r=0.798)、射门次数与射正次数(r=0.735)、进球数与胜负关系(r=0.611)、射门次数与角球数(r=0.533)、射正次数与进球数(r=0.525)等指标方面,呈显著相关性;3)高控球率组球队在角球数、射门次数、进球数等指标要优于中低控球率组,而在犯规次数与跑动距离等指标上,中低控球率组要相对多于高控球率组.

By using the methods of literature review,expert interview,video observation,and mathematical statistics,this paper made a correlation analysis about technical statistical of 240 games at 2015-2016 China Super League(CSL).Based on the view of big data,we hope to provide a data support on both analyzing team abilities and making strategy.Conclusions:1)High odds have higher numbers in corner,free kicks,goal related and pass and possession indicators than the low one,expect fouls and running distances.2)Those below indicators have very significant correlations with each other,they are possession with passes(r=0.798),shooting numbers with shooting on target(r=0.735),goals with win-lose(r=0.611),shooting numbers with corner kicks(r=0.533),and shooting on target with goals(r=0.525).3)Corner kicks,free kicks,shooting numbers and goals are higher in higher possession group than medium and low ones,however,medium group has more fouls and running distances than higher one.

作者：

朱建明

Zhu Jianming(Department of Physical Education,East China University of Political Science and Law,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：

华东政法大学体育部

出处：

《betway官方app 学报：自然科学版》 CAS 北大核心 2018年第3期119-124,共6页

基金：

国家社会科学基金(14BTY026) 华东政法大学课题(HZK16019)

关键词：

中超技术指标致胜因素相关性

CSL technical indicators winning determinant correlation analysis